Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.555248e-05 4.249331e-05 0.000050 0.000059 0.000068 0.000079 0.000091
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.606215e-05 3.472819e-05 0.000045 0.000057 0.000072 0.000088 0.000108
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.050000e-05 3.006478e-05 0.000042 0.000057 0.000076 0.000098 0.000125
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.560770e-05 2.523273e-05 0.000038 0.000055 0.000076 0.000103 0.000136
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.213184e-05 2.159097e-05 0.000035 0.000053 0.000077 0.000108 0.000148
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 9.922394e-06 1.931190e-05 0.000033 0.000053 0.000080 0.000115 0.000161
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.879210e-06 1.689425e-05 0.000031 0.000052 0.000081 0.000120 0.000172
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.294736e-06 1.490031e-05 0.000029 0.000051 0.000082 0.000125 0.000183
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.946045e-06 1.302732e-05 0.000027 0.000049 0.000083 0.000128 0.000192
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.725690e-06 1.110115e-05 0.000025 0.000047 0.000082 0.000130 0.000199
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.689206e-06 9.252106e-06 0.000022 0.000045 0.000080 0.000131 0.000203
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.018385e-06 7.994862e-06 0.000020 0.000043 0.000080 0.000133 0.000211
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.623387e-06 7.434281e-06 0.000020 0.000045 0.000086 0.000145 0.000232
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.067301e-06 6.160718e-06 0.000019 0.000044 0.000086 0.000150 0.000245
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.381806e-07 5.349965e-06 0.000018 0.000044 0.000089 0.000158 0.000262
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.236417e-07 4.283478e-06 0.000016 0.000042 0.000089 0.000161 0.000273
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.331909e-07 3.469078e-06 0.000014 0.000040 0.000089 0.000165 0.000284
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.374493e-07 2.985133e-06 0.000014 0.000040 0.000091 0.000172 0.000300
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.515937e-08 2.440812e-06 0.000013 0.000039 0.000092 0.000177 0.000313
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.668797e-08 2.001792e-06 0.000012 0.000039 0.000092 0.000182 0.000326
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 7.457976e-09 1.598271e-06 0.000011 0.000037 0.000093 0.000186 0.000338
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 6.441872e-10 1.200730e-06 0.000010 0.000036 0.000092 0.000187 0.000346
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 8.490085e-07 0.000008 0.000034 0.000090 0.000187 0.000352